Romney Landslide Possible? Plus: Obama Recommends ‘Revenge’; Steyn Recommends Getting Serious
November 4, 2012
The Heritage Foundation’s Michael Franc offers an encouraging word in “Parsing the Polls: If Gallup is right, Tuesday will be a long night for the Democratic party.” (On the main page, National Review Online subtitles it “If Gallup’s right, Obama’s toast.”)
After Tuesday’s debate, Charles Cooke had a good line:
As far as I can see, Obama’s main plan for the next four years is to be president in them, and that may well not be enough to win reelection . . . .
Hat tip to unassumingpseudonym of Far-flung Fancies, who sent it to me.
In other news, Real Clear Politics’ Electoral College map has just moved North Carolina into Romney’s column, putting Romney ahead in that count for the first time this whole election cycle; it’s now 206 to 201, Romney’s favor. (It’s big news—by coincidence, Rush Limbaugh mentioned it just as I was writing this!) But arguably North Carolina had already been lost to Obama for some time—recall “Pollster Writes Off Three Swing States, Says Obama Won’t Win Them”. Just look at Real Clear Politics’ polling averages in North Carolina: Romney has been rising and Obama falling, steeply, all month. Romney currently leads 50.3-44.7.
Alternate Interpretations of the Polls
September 27, 2012
Many conservatives are arguing that recent polls, showing Obama in the lead, probably are not accurate. Here are a few of those arguments:
- Jim Geraghty at National Review Online:
“This Morning’s Polls Project More Heavily Democratic Electorates Than 2008”
“Why Party ID Matters, and Why Pollsters Avert Their Eyes”
- Ed Morrissey, Hot Air: “Are we too sensitive to partisan skew in polls?”
- Da Tech Guy: “Demoralized as Hell, The poll the media isn’t talking about edition”
(Hat tip to Wintery Knight)
Josh Mandel Could Win Ohio
August 31, 2012
State Treasurer Josh Mandel is the Republican nominee for Senate from Ohio. He is running against incumbent Senator Sherrod Brown.