Nate Silver at 538:  It was a good night for Cruz, a bad night for Drumpf.

Obligatory sanity-check post: I know that the details matter, and that we’re interested to see whether Trump can take a congressional district in Wisconsin despite his poor night statewide. But it bears repeating that he’s having a really bad night and Cruz is having a really good one.

Read the rest of this entry »

Mitt Romney and others have urged us (anti-Trump Republican primary voters) to “vote strategically”: by voting for Rubio in Florida, Kasich in Ohio, and whoever is polling highest in each state before election day in that state.

But John Kasich is already a big part of the reason that Drumpf has won as many states as he has.

Arkansas primary results:
Drumpf 32.8%
Cruz 30.5%
Kasich 3.7%

Read the rest of this entry »

Donald Trump, a. k. a. Drumpf, has bought another friend.

In retrospect, the signs were there; this isn’t the first time Carson has lent his name and reputation to a scam.

I wonder how much he got paid for it this time.

The truth about Trump University, from a man who would know—for a time, he worked for the con man.

More about Trump University from Ian Tuttle at NRO: “Yes, Trump University Was a Massive Scam”

Read the rest of this entry »

Donald Trump’s followers don’t primarily support him because of his positions on the issues.  If their priority were immigration enforcement, they would all be for Ted Cruz.  Trump’s stated positions appear to move to and fro according to what he considers to be to his personal advantage at any given moment.  This is both why Trump must be stopped and why it is so difficult to stop him.  (How can you rationally argue his supporters out of positions they did not adopt rationally in the first place?)

Read the rest of this entry »