Romney Landslide Possible? Plus: Obama Recommends ‘Revenge’; Steyn Recommends Getting Serious
November 4, 2012
The Heritage Foundation’s Michael Franc offers an encouraging word in “Parsing the Polls: If Gallup is right, Tuesday will be a long night for the Democratic party.” (On the main page, National Review Online subtitles it “If Gallup’s right, Obama’s toast.”)
Correcting these polls so that there was a Republican edge in the sample of voters consistent with Gallup’s finding would hand Romney a lead between five to ten points.
Also at National Review Online, Josh Jordan offers another interesting analysis in “Could Today Be Obama’s Best Polling Day Left?”
If Republicans manage turnout at levels that have been suggested by both Gallup and Rasmussen, Romney could be headed for a shocker on Tuesday that no one could have ever seen coming. Except for those paying attention to what’s been going on for the past four years, of course.
Michael Barone in the Washington Examiner goes a step further and positively predicts a Romney landslide. He goes state by state and concludes,
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223. That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election.
(Hat tip to Publius Prime.)
Of course the only poll that really matters is the one this Tuesday. Don’t forget to vote!
In other news, President Obama thinks voters need “revenge”:
Romney responds:
(I was there! and yes, it was awesome.)
Jonah Goldberg comments on Obama’s “revenge” comment.
I understand Obama is bitter. That’s been obvious for a while. But it’s just a weird and narcissistic assumption that his supporters want “revenge” too. Doesn’t mean it’s wrong, though. Which makes the whole thing even creepier.
Goldberg also reminds us that Obama previously encouraged voters to think of themselves as members of ethnic interest groups and use elections to “punish our enemies”.
Last but not least, Mark Steyn’s column this week and supplemental are only partly about the election, but are still must-read material.
You could have 83 flood barriers for the cost of one lousy stimulus bill. And yet it never happened — and, if we’re honest with ourselves, in today’s sclerotic America, you can’t even imagine it happening, can you? Let us go to Nanny Bloomberg himself:
But with so many prescient warnings, city authorities are struggling to explain why so little was done. Mayor Bloomberg has said it was difficult to translate such warnings into concrete action.
They can chisel that on the epitaph of the republic. Because with Big Government American-style, no matter how many trillions of dollars are spent, it all goes to makework bureaucracies.
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Whether or not to get serious is the choice facing the electorate on Tuesday.
Photo credit: Romney campaign, e-mail, photo of event in West Chester on November 2nd. See links above.
November 4, 2012 at 5:01 PM
Are conservatives getting upset about the choice of words used in political theater? Didn’t you, not too long ago, chastise Democrats for doing the same thing? “Martial metaphors are a long-held tradition in American politics.”
Anyway, as I posted before but it didn’t make its way onto the board for some reason, Romney could very well win in a landslide if the polls showing him with a massive lead among independents are correct, and if Republicans significantly cut into the Democratic turnout advantage. I would point out three things, however.
(1) Gallup is an extreme outlier and is the only poll that I’m aware of that has Romney and Obama tied among women voters. If that is true, of course Romney will win in a landslide, but is anyone actually dumb enough to think that’s true?
(2) Rasmussen has the race as a dead heat.
(3) If the state polls are correct, and if the Democratic GOTV apparatus helps maintain their advantage in turnout, Obama could just as easily win in a landslide. The assumption that Romney is going to win in a landslide depends on the tenuous (though possible) supposition that almost all of the state polls are Democratically biased.
P.S. Are you aware that Mitt Romney supported abortion rights, government-subsidized healthcare, and the artificial increase of gas prices to incentivize the development of alternative energy sources? (you still haven’t answered this question). The main reason that Romney could win this election is that he has a history of moderation and bipartisanship. Heck, if his past views are any indication, he may be the most moderate Republican nominee in modern political history. That is precisely the reason that progressives should view Tuesday’s election as win/kinda win. Even if the Republicans win, it is clear that the more moderate forces in American politics still carry the day. Face it, extreme right conservatism is all but dead in this country.
November 5, 2012 at 8:33 PM
http://www.toledoblade.com/Politics/2012/11/04/Advocates-say-Husted-directives-give-him-greater-license-to-disenfranchise-voters.html
As a free speech advocate, what do you make of our Secretary of State trying to disenfranchise voters?