Fewer (but Still a Lot of) Illegal Immigrants
April 27, 2012
“So, Is Mexican Immigration Over?”, Mark Krikorian, National Review Online:
A new report finds that the number of Mexican immigrants in the United States has declined for the first time since the Great Depression. . . .
That doesn’t mean illegal immigration from Mexico has stopped . . . . But the number of immigrants giving up and going home has indeed increased, and only between 5 and 35 percent of them are estimated to have been deported; the rest left on their own.
In other words, the policy of attrition through enforcement works. This is what Governor Romney meant when he mentioned “self-deportation.”
(Links in original.)
Relatedly, the National Review editors weigh in on the Arizona immigration law (the Supreme Court heard oral arguments on it this week).
Updates (April 27th, 2012): Two more related items:
Mark Krikorian comments in the Corner about the oral arguments before the Supreme Court earlier this week:
The headline quote comes from Justice Sotomayor, who didn’t seem to buy the administration’s argument any more than the more conservative justices. After quoting a particularly meaningless reply to a justice by Verrilli, Hindraker at Powerline added, “that answer was incoherent, obviously, but not because Verrilli is a fool; rather, because the Obama administration’s position is indefensible.” . . .
But what’s struck me most over the past few days is how the Left does not even understand the concept of constitutionalism. They virtually all seem to think that “constitutional” means “a policy I like” and “unconstitutional” means “a policy I don’t like,” which is why they are so appalled at the prospect of losing before the Supremes on Obamacare or S.B. 1070.
—and about the popularity of Arizona’s law:
I figured the open-border crowd’s frenzied attacks on S.B. 1070 would at least soften public support for the bill. But I was wrong.
A Quinnipiac poll of registered voters taken Friday found the public supporting the bill 68–27. Hispanics were split down the middle, which you would never know if you listened just to the Soros/Ford Foundation protuberances who pretend to speak on their behalf. Even more remarkable is the fact that support has been increasing and opposition decreasing; the numbers in February were 64–32, and in November of last year were 61–34. Given that “don’t know/no answer” stayed the same, that means fully 20 percent of those who disapproved of the bill in November have changed their minds.
(Links in originals.)
April 27, 2012 at 12:51 PM
So does President Obama get credit for this trend? Or does Romney get credit for saying the words “self-deportation”?
April 27, 2012 at 2:05 PM
No, President Obama doesn’t get credit for a trend that began before he took office and has diminished under his administration. He does get credit for not being 100% as awful on immigration as a president theoretically could be and diminishing the trend all the way down to nothing.
According to this Corner item from Mark Krikorian in February (he links to his source),
The table here suggests that Mexican immigration to the U. S. declined steeply after 2004 but has been declining much more slowly since Obama took office.
Obama gets credit for the new policy of deporting only the worst criminals, in effect an “administrative amnesty” that “could mean release for many of the 300,000 people currently facing deportation in the US.”
Obama also gets credit for mocking even moderate, pro-amnesty politicians who nonetheless also insist on enforcing immigration law to some extent as wanting a “moat” with “alligators”, and for claiming that the border fence was “now basically complete” when it was less than 50% complete. (Note that even if it were 90% complete, that wouldn’t be 90% as good as having it complete; it would be much less useful, if not totally useless, because would-be illegal immigrants would gravitate toward the 10% that was still open.)
April 27, 2012 at 2:32 PM
http://articles.cnn.com/2011-10-19/politics/politics_deportation-record_1_ice-director-john-morton-undocumented-immigrants-criminal-alien-program?_s=PM:POLITICS
Record deportations three years in a row. If you’re not going to acknowledge reality, there is no hope for you.
April 27, 2012 at 5:03 PM
If you don’t trust my sources and you don’t even read your own sources, there is no hope for you. From the article you just linked to:
April 27, 2012 at 7:51 PM
I’m going to ask a simple question, has the Obama administration set the deportation record three years in a row?
April 27, 2012 at 10:41 PM
I answer again from your own source:
In other words, if deportations are your measure, Bush produced much more impressive increases from one year to another. Obama’s 1% increase, by comparison, is distinctly unimpressive. It builds on the effective policies Bush had already implemented before him.
I notice that he’s happy to take credit for what he “inherited” from Bush when it suits him.
April 27, 2012 at 11:09 PM
Ok, so yes. Wait, are you criticizing the president for continuing and effectively enforcing prior policies? That’s weird.